When I collected my new VW (Polo GTI+) last week, the dealer confirmed I wouldn’t now be able to order one and said the reason was emissions-related. From next year under European emissions legislation, car manufacturers have an emissions target for the entire ‘fleet’ of new vehicles they sell (presumably in Europe) of 95g of CO2 per km. I dare say that the UK will have its own similar legislation and targets as those under the EU emissions legislation at the end of the Brexit transition period.
The EU emissions target is being phased in during 2020 - I think the phasing in means that the 95g C02 per km target applies to each car manufacturer’s 95% least CO2 emitting vehicles in their fleet in 2020. So manufacturers may be selectively suspending (or stopping) production of certain models within their model ranges to change their overall mix of new vehicles to a ‘cleaner‘ mix, in an effort to work towards that emissions target. IMO it looks highly unlikely that VW or VAG overall will hit the target of 95g CO2 per km for their vehicle fleet in 2021, unless their fleet mix of vehicles shifts significantly towards all-electric and hybrid models. Many other manufacturers will be in a similar position; over on Fiestastoc.com forum recently, it was mentioned that Ford had temporarily ceased production of the Fiesta and Focus ST models.until the end of the year. This action may well be emissions related as I suspect the ST models will be the highest CO2 emitters in the Fiesta and Focus ranges.
For manufacturers who miss the fleet CO2 target, there are some sizeable financial penalties - for each g of CO2 over the target for the fleet of new vehicles sold, there is a fine of something like €95 for each vehicle. So for a manufacturer selling 1,000,000 cars in 2021 with a fleet average CO2 of 100g / km (5g over the target) they would get a fine of €95 x 5 x 1,000,000 = €475 million.
Maybe we won’t see the Polo GTI again until the current Polo model gets its mid life facelift. If so, then it might reappear with a different engine - maybe as a hybrid with a similar set up to the petrol-electric hybrid set up in the new
Cupra Leon.
With increasingly stringent CO2 emissions targets, it does seem strange that Seat are adding a 1.5 engine to the
Ibiza range, unless there are CO2 savings to be made elsewhere within Seat’s vehicle fleet.